Boe Mpr Forecasts
This isolated candidate retains 19 official MPR forecast vintages from February 2022 through July 2026 and normalizes 1,124 forward observations. It covers the MPC central projections for CPI inflation, four-quarter GDP growth and unemployment; an annual private-sector regular-pay AWE profile where the newer databank publishes it; and the quarterly market-implied Bank Rate conditioning path. April 2026 is retained under separate Scenario A/B/C identifiers because that report published scenario projections rather than one replacement central projection.
Derived numerical research records with source attribution. Raw source documents are not republished.
Source records & technical fields · 10 records
gb.boe.mpr.awe.indicative
10 retained records · percent_year_on_year
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Sources & interpretation
Records retain source-specific units, release clocks and revision information where available. Different vintages, forecasts and observations should not be treated as a continuous comparable series.
The 256 Bank Rate observations are financial-market conditioning assumptions. They are not MPC policy-rate forecasts or promises. The workbooks describe the path as OIS-derived market pricing, normally averaged over 15 working days. Central macro projections and broadly consistent indicative AWE paths retain distinct identifiers and quality flags; April scenario values never enter the central series.
The Bank's monetary-policy page states that the MPC decision and minutes are published at 12 noon on announcement day, and the quarterly MPR is released with those announcements. Release dates come from each official MPR page, except November 2025 where the official companion MPC-summary page supplies the omitted date. All clocks are converted from Europe/London to UTC, including daylight-saving transitions. Exact release-specific ZIP/page bytes, response headers, URLs, retrieval clocks and hashes are retained.