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Forecasts & expectations

ECB · Professional forecasters

- Quarterly rounds: 111 (1999Q1 through 2026Q3) - Published aggregate observations: 2,130 - Respondent-level MRO rate assumptions: 27,385 - Derived rate distribution summaries: 1,689 - Historically eligible aggregate rows: 2,091

31,204 retained records31,204 explorable recordsImported 2026-09-15

Derived numerical research records with source attribution. Raw source documents are not republished.

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Source records & technical fields · 31,204 records

Records

31,204 retained records · percent

Details

Sources & interpretation

Records retain source-specific units, release clocks and revision information where available. Different vintages, forecasts and observations should not be treated as a continuous comparable series.

The aggregate histories use the ECB's exact published-results dates, conservatively gated at Frankfurt date-end. The first three rounds were not published and remain retrieval-gated. The respondent ZIP was captured retrospectively, so its rate assumptions and derived distributions remain retrieval-gated until release-specific microdata publication evidence is bound.

The IR field is represented as the respondent's assumption for the ECB main refinancing operations rate. These are survey assumptions, not market probabilities or Governing Council commitments. No row is integrated into canonical features or predictions.